Friday, May 11, 2012

Does face book will bring hope and luck or disappointing and crash to our market?

Does face book will bring hope and luck or disappointing and crash to our market?

Face book going to IPO and the biggest IPO in history. This time is coming closer and closer. Finally I can not keep my mouth shut anymore. Maybe I am too much into God. I just have the feeling. Face book will be the big lesson to human.

Look all the social media company does. Look how that company makes money. How many companies make real money by real cost and profit management? How many companies make fake money by push the stock number higher to make money? That is how warrant buffet question about all these social media company work.

The good side of social media is it a good platform to keep more people connected, and a place gets side common for free within the connection. But for business which borrowed a lot of money far before making enough to pay back the money they already borrowed. It that called a great business model? I think it is great charitable platform for people. But not a great business model.

Social media in natural it is a great service and help to people. The natural is help designed from God. Stay social connected is the reason God said human can not be lonely. Look back from human history, which is simple to understand, it is true. And it is something human can not change. And it is why social media become more and more popular in modern years. But it not necessary to be a company making money. It will be much success when human society when this small world not using money to measure success. But too bad we are not there yet.

Google making money because Google is a search engine, Google have plenty area to make advertising money. Apple making money because apple is great new generation fashion at lease last a decade, face book is a social service, of course will last for ever if they can generate enough money to cover the cost if a lot big deep pocket will keep donating the money for it.

Why I am saying it? Look all the process of this kind of company, and look all the tech and human resource needed for improving the best service for all human need? I would like ask ourselves how much more things we can do. Can we really be able to do what ever God can do? Can we? … but we want do what ever God can do, that’s why Adam follow the wife eat the “apple” from knowledge tree. Does anyone rethink we are human; our brain is a piece of xxx compare God ability. Our knowledge is another piece of xxx, compare God ability. And now we are self inflate our confident. We think we can do every thing. Such as “automatic car without human control“. do we really know how many unpredicted street situation will happen? Does machine made by human can do better then human? Does it means machine brain can do faster then human brain? Its that manse human can make a “God” so human made “God” can be use instead human and better then human. What kind of logic it is?

Calm down human, calm down, the most joy able time during human life is when you get calm not when you are getting excited. But how many people can do?

Do any of social media users like me keep getting solicited from all those social media company? Does any one keep getting linking request from friends but when you call your friend to ask if they really ask you to link they answered is no! Especially Linked in. does any one get some suggestion letter from your social media company tell you your friend have important mail you need reply ASAP? So the social media service company, if they are not steal your personal contact, how can they use your personal contact friend name to inviting you without owner consents? If the social media company not looks through your personal email letter content, how they know it is an important mail need be replied earlier? Now the social media company already uses this kind low key method to fight for the share of the market, how much profit every company can make? To get better market, they need better service, they need cover all the human need through the service, they need more higher lever tech programmer, engineer, new technology , so they need more money to keep up with all the resources to run this dream. But is technology going faster? Or human need go faster? Is the human dream better or the technology better. Which lead which to get improved?

Calm down human, calm down. God is the only one can supply human need. And he already sad, he can only supplies enough to use without being hungry. He didn’t say he will supply every thing we want. And he never say he can help us become him and can be instead of him. Is that right?

Calm down human, calm down, stop cheating ourselves. This is the current lesson what God designed for. Face book IPO. The big guys deep pocket already set all kind of option down side trade even they can not dump this stock within certain period time. But they have a lot of other tool can trade either way. Not individual investors.

That is all my heart, I have to speak it out, it been in my heart too long.

Wednesday, December 7, 2011

“Free market to make great prospect in this great country” it should do in the future

“Free market to make great prospect in this great country” it should do in the future



This is the big discussion all the times on CNBC Kudlow Show. I believe “free market will make great prospect for all hard working middle class Citizen in this great country. Why? Because, when I just come in to this country. I have nothing at all. But after 15 years hard working, I made up to middle class and be able to pay 35% income tax on my own and hire up to 15 workers. And I was so proud of myself from working as a bath boy, delivery lunch box and pizza, then start getting into my profession as a architectural designer and then a professional construction builder.

I made my life from poor to middle class. It is because free market combined with good shape of economic situation. As long as I want, I can work long hour, I can work two job, I can borrow more money to start my business, and charge more on my high quality and service job to pay better pay to and hire better worker.

But now I can not keep making my life, it because the “free market”  melt away. Why? Economic down turn, not enough construction business to do. Even there is some, people have small budget. As a contractor, I understand, I try to cut more profit margin down to get job. But I can only do the limited cut I can do. Because the worker’s compensation insurance lock up my minimum pay rate for the worker. Even I am possible to find good worker willing to do the work at the lower working rate, but I can’t pay them low. for example: if I keep hourly rate for my carpenter above $25 per hour, I pay $17% of pay check to buy worker’s comp. but if the hourly rate lower then $25 per hour, I have to pay 53% of pay check to buy worker’s comp. How is that happen? Because government have a rule to force us have to buy worker’s compensation insurance for human right thought, but the rule have no regulation about how to sale worker’s compensation insurance from insurance company.

What is that shows to us. It shows, our capitalism country, not fully capitalism. We are “joint venture” We are not fully free market situation for the business. One hand we are free market, I can not charge better price because economic down, but on the other hand I have to pay more on my labor cost to satisfy human right. But insurance company don’t want to satisfy human right by charging less. So how can we make business profit and keep hiring people? Now I end up laid off every one and work everything on my own. Even though, I couldn’t even make leaving on my own.

Even like this, the economic getting worse. The owner budget getting even less because congress knocking down Goldman Sach. Investigate all big bank, Market plugged. Owner would rather hire unlicensed crew with now worker’s compensation insurance, paying cash for worker without pay any payroll tax, to get job done instead hire us, a professional licensed contractor. And most of unlicensed crew worker getting unemployeement pay check and free health insurance which the big hole our country can not afford it. But small business owner like me, have no unemployeement and still have to buy our own health insurance by using our saving even we have no any income. So the situation is: one side have regulation for all registered licensee, the other side is unregulated free market. This is the reality of our great country. It is the main reason we should consider and study hard to find out how to get our economic back on track.

Not only our country, the whole Europe have the same problem. Compare China, Veitnan,… All new grown up country, they bring our free market capitalism into their country, so these 20 years they get a lot better then before. And they will get even better in the next 30 years. But our country and Europe developed country, already step into post capitalism by contribute more human right, more social benefit….which already physically pre socialism. Countries like China, a “fake socialism” country physically step into and catch up capitalism now.

Find balance point in the world or within our country ourselves, is the biggest and tough work to do, not because which political party can control the power of this country. No mater our next president come from any political party, if he has no understand and wisdom to lead our country, he will be fail again, and our country will really getting into deeper problem.

Somebody said the right thing, our country need right leadership the whole Europe need right leadership. But what kind of leadership should be? The leader should be able to lead us really know what kind of operation will work, or at least have better chance to work. But the sad thing is: every one only know dig a bigger hole to patch current hole, print more money to pay for old debt. Or just try to print more money buy more time. Does anyone know what the value of time? And how much money will do?

I am not saying which political party right or which political party wrong, buying time is needed. But set up future path is even more important.

The question is should we go little step back for more “free market” way? If so, we should eliminate more current rules and benefit? Let rich to get more richer so they can spend money to hire more people and care more people. which considered natural way to slow recover our economic but it is solid step to go further, Or we go step further up to care about more luxury human right, it will do like another “fake socialism” way to set up more rules to regulate every detail and cut rich people profit give to the poor, those people even can not take care themselves.

The reality already showed, most of our profit business, big or small are all move out our country because the high business tax and complicated regulation. So the rich try to keep up profit for themselves have to go out of country to be able to be alive. Try to bring all those business back, the only way is reduce corporate tax, and eliminate a lot rules. Can we, no we can not.

Or Forget about what kind of “xxxlism,” this whole united nation have to sit down and work together to get through the situation now. There is no more time to wait anymore. This is the situation God teach human how to respect each other rich and poor, developed and undeveloped country. This is the situation God teach human, how to rich care poor, big care small, strong care weak. Is this going to work? It’s worked when United State started by Washington. It is worked when Bill Gates and Warren Buffet donate big charity fund. It also worked a short time when Chairman Mao concord China.

The point is when developed western countries as an individual, can have much more extra profited capital to take care of human right and social benefit, but as a united nation, the capital have a lot shortage to fill up hungry undeveloped country. Even European people can not volunteering take cut of benefit or pay check on government worker, how can the whole word human being can sit down find solution without selfish mind?

High human right and high social benefit ifs build on high capitalism capital. Without huge extra profit capital that just an believe, a future high expectation or wish. And now we have to be realistic. Since the whole world combined together which physically only in the beginning stage of capitalism, just let the market do it work naturally. And cut a lose when the big lose happen like every individual or family. Find solid restarting point to restart. If not, do the separation between developed country and undeveloped country. Forget about world free trade, fence ourselves up to wait another 30 years until China and other third world country catch up us.

It is just that simple. Stop fooling ourselves. that is the real vision our country and all developed country needed

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Europe crisis right in front of the face. Do any of world leaders be honest to it.

Europe crisis right in front of the face.
Do any of world leaders be honest to it.

17 country as a union in Europe, Greece is the worse one hopeless, how bad it is. Every one knows. Debt is too big and it is no future can be expected.

As Greece wished, all old debt should to be full forgiven in order to re-arrange their country. But no one want to say Greece prefer to go in bankrupt instead of the only 50% forgiven. In the other word. Greece want borrow new money to re try if they can make it in the future. And all the money they borrow is only cover a little portion of old debt if they have to take care old debt.

The mistake come from how the old debt build up. The mistake is mistake and it is also the mistake can not make it up. It just like you buy a out of money call option or even when you bought the in the money call option turn in to out of money since price sharp drop. You have to cut it out instead double down the same call option to balance it out.

Greece know exactly what happen. But the union can not face to it. During long discussion. The one trillion new help money combined with 50% old debt forgiven is set just give one day hope for the whole world. Then the reality start re talk about. Actually it will be no answer for the old debt at all.

How about political decision. What are the leaders of Europe union can do? They just keep lie to them self. That is why only forgiving 50% which look like big cut and union showed stay together to help.

Use debt to take care debt, what a stupid solution. The whole world doing the same thing again and again. Not because no one knows but just because no one want to be honest to face on it. Even they like to do so, but they don’t want to do it.

Some one already said this debt problem like cancer. It is cancer. Either you chop it off to live longer or pray to die little slower.

Why all the leader don’t want to face the debt honestly. Because it is hurt, it is really hurt. Check out Chinese history. during 1958 to 1960, china try to pay back the big debt to Russia, the whole country have to cut all budget and expense down to every individual. There is not enough foot can eat. People eat tree bark, grass to keep alive. So many people died back then, but Chairman Mao did it. Because he is not only won’t give up on it but he can face it honestly. His people not only won’t give up on it but can face it honestly with him. To compare with it. What the western people do. The Grace government try to cooperate with the Union. But his people go on the street complain paycheck being cut. What those people thinking? Unbelievable selfish, unbelievable brain less. And all the leaders not lead people to face it honestly at all.